clearly heading towards +2º C hotter planet!
and not a net-zero future by any magic means!
Lets hear it from the experts in international energy co-operation (IEA 2023)
Global energy-related CO2 emissions grew by 1% = 322 Mt in 2022, reaching a new high of over 36.8 Gt. After a considerable dip during 2020 lock-down, there has been an exceptional spike in energy use and emissions across almost every nation. The rebound, perceived by all as “back to normal” accounted for 6% more CO2 than 2019. June 9th 2023 marked a new peak, of emissions, counting all sectors of human activity at 109 Mt CO2. The black ball in the image above symbolizes 1 ton.
2022 and 23 have seen several energy price shocks, partly due to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Coal and gas were swiftly brought back into action, in Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, Switzerland and Sweden to sustain civilian energy needs. Residential CO2 emissions oscillate throughout the year, across the world, and actually fell this year (Jan 2023 was 19.1Mt while in Jan 2022 was 22.5 Mt)
New and growing component of emissions - cooling and heating demands are rising because of extreme weather as well as record temperature spikes across the world. Approximately 160 Mt CO2.
During 2016 - 2019 OECD, WEF, IMF and the World Bank, all had highlighted the ongoing “decoupling of emissions from economic growth”. That short trend was broken by 2021’s sharp rebound in emissions, only to be surpassed across a majority of sectors (2022 till date). “…emissions rising to 36.8 Gt regardless of a global economic deceleration…” (unitednations-stats)
The winner in terms of showing no signs of reduction, is the aviation sector made of the international and the domestic. This includes tourism, frequent flyers, business executives, students, transport of goods etc but excluding military aviation. Counting per day, 1.06 Mt in 2021 - 1.88 Mt in 2022 - 2.11 Mt in 2023 (approx. 686 Mt in 2022)
If one could include every human action which results in Green House Gas emissions, we are currently emitting a couple of Atom Bombs worth (700metric tons) CO2 by the hour 😱 or is it every couple of minutes?! 😱 Visibly the 2015 Paris Accord and all succeeding COP summits are schemes, pointing to total long-term disasters.
Source of data/
https://carbonmonitor.org/